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Institut für Medizinische Statistik
Besondere Einrichtung für Medizinische Statistik und Informatik - Medizinische Universität Wien

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Thesis

Abstract

It is proposed to apply statistical methods of industrial process or quality control to the cumulating data in a statistical monitoring center of a clinical trial. Some specific issues of the application of these methods over calendar to patient characteristics (at a particular individual patient time) or to more formal monitoring characteristics (like the number of errors detected in double data entry) are discussed. Statistical methods that are used in this context are: breakpoint regression, recursive residuals with cusum- and V-mask techniques and Shewhart charts. In a brief way it is discussed how desired information about quality characteristics can be included in the trials database scheme. SAS-Macros, that allow easy data management (e.g. importing tables via ODBC interface) and application of the statistical methods, are presented. Some examples with graphical outputs are given from an ongoing trial on patients with primary malignant melanoma.

Key Words

Statistical quality control, clinical trials, quality monitoring, Shewhart charts, Cusum charts, breakpoint regression, recursive residuals, quality characteristics, relational database

Conclusion

The development of statistical quality and process control techniques started in the 1920s in relation with the production industries in the United States. In the 1930s Shewhart developed the control chart technique. Since then quality control methods have successfully been used in many fields.

As a clinical trial is a process, too, and as there are quality characteristics that can be measured, statistical quality control methods can also be applied to clinical trials. Benefits of the usage of statistical quality control in clinical trials: It is relatively cheap, it is not personnel intensive, it can centrally be performed from the monitoring center, it is not work intensive and it provides a fast and direct access to information.

However there are some special characteristics of clinical trials that have to be taken into account when applying statistical quality control methods. Differently from the production industry there are no production runs, which would form a natural sample basis. There is no sampling of observation. The sample size varies from time interval to time interval. Patient values will change over time, due to therapeutical effects. Repeated measurements are possible, as patients may have more than one visit in a given time interval. The process 'clinical trial' cannot be directly corrected.

Quality characteristics that are analyzed in clinical trials can be divided into two groups: a) quality characteristics that base on patient data such as laboratory values, relative compliance or the number of adverse events; b) quality characteristics as data from data monitoring like the number of queries on CRF-data, relative frequency of reminders or the performance of double data entry.

The statistical methods presented in this context have been selected for the situation of clinical trials. Generally two types of data are considered: a) measurement data which are modeled using the normal distribution, b) event data, where the Binomial and Poisson distribution is used. Basically all quality characteristics are monitored over calendar time, but only values, which were taken at the same individual patient time in the trial, are used in analysis because of potential therapeutical effects. Event data and measurement data for Shewhart charts are aggregated over calendar time intervals. Here all observations in a time interval have the same time value, the interval midpoint time. All methods have been adopted for the characteristics of clinical trials.

Breakpoint analysis is used to find out whether in a pre-specified timepoint a change in the course of the data has happened. The one-step-ahead forecast error is used to detect actual deviations from the long-term trend. Here cusum charts with the V-mask technique are applied. For measurement data the linear regression, for proportions the logistic regression, for frequencies and rate the Poisson regression is used.

Control charts are used to view and analyze the course of data over time. These charts are directly taken from classical quality control. For measurements, -, R- and s-charts are drawn. For event data, p-, c- and u-charts are available.

Two special kinds of plots are used to visualize special characteristics of the data over time. These are single plots and cumulative recruitment plots.

If information for certain quality characteristics, e.g. compliance, scheduling of examination, time intervals in the workflow, performance of double data entry or queries on CRF-data shall be available, corresponding entities, attributes and relationships have to be included in the information model. The additional workload for the modification of the information model and the software program seems to be low, as compared to the whole effort of designing and programming the clinical trials database and the potential advantages for quality monitoring.

The SAS-macros have been implemented for statistical quality control in clinical trials. They allow easy usage, facilitate data management, provide a number of general and specific methods of statistical quality control and perform a number of data transformation and data preparation steps.

The usage of the macros follows three steps: first, initialization is provided, second, data management is performed, finally, statistical analysis is done. The macros have the feature of flexible usage, that means the user is free to write his own SAS-programs and combine then with the macros.

As far as it is possible, standard SAS-procedures and their standard output are used for the macros that perform the analysis. However, in general, the macros are not simply call interfaces for standard SAS-procedures. The macros perform a large part of data management and calculation. And in some cases, e.g. for the one-step-ahead forecast error, nearly the whole functionality is programmed in the macro language. The SAS-macros can be called in the SAS-language and from a graphical user interface. Various examples are given from an ongoing trial for the treatment of Melanoma patients.

Finally it should be mentioned that the application of statistical quality control methods in clinical trials provides an easy, cheap and direct access to relevant information about the quality of a clinical trial. The benefit of their usage is the retrieval of information, how quality characteristics behave over time. It has to be kept in mind that the additional effort of performing statistical quality control in clinical trials is comparatively low to other activities, e.g. source data verification.

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